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Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Economic Modeling


After all the technical assessments—voltage, protocols, inertia, safety—one question remains. 

"Does this retrofit make financial sense?" 

Engineers often treat economics as someone else's problem. That is a mistake. The engineer who can build a credible economic model is the engineer who gets projects approved. The reason is obvious: Economics is not the only driver for retrofits, but it is almost always the first question asked.

For that, we need the tools to answer the following questions with rigor: 

▪ How do we calculate simple payback and return on investment (ROI)? 

▪ How can we model energy savings (the most common retrofit driver)? 

▪ How to account for productivity gains, maintenance reductions, and avoided downtime? 

▪ How do we handle uncertainty and risk in economic models? 

▪ How can we navigate incentives, grants, and carbon accounting?

In the upcoming book: Solutions to Obsolescence, I will try to address these questions and more. 

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